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Hawthorn vs Brisbane Lions Betting Tips – Preliminary Final 2026

Preliminary Final 2026 · M.C.G. · 2026-09-19T07:15:00+00:00

Hawthorn vs Brisbane Lions AFL match preview for Preliminary Final 2026, including the predicted winner, score projection and team-level match analysis.

Early Match Outlook

A focused first look using the latest team form, results and recent selections. Full betting markets will be added when official teams are confirmed.

Our Prediction

74% confidence
86
Brisbane Lions
vs
102
Hawthorn

Hawthorn by 16 points

Hawthorn vs Brisbane Lions – Round 28 Match Preview

The tip is Hawthorn by 16 points, with the scoreboard projected at 102-86 and confidence sitting at 75%.

That makes this a clear lean rather than a lock. The contest looks competitive, but with enough separation to make the tip meaningful. The projected total points to a higher-scoring game. Recent team results have Hawthorn at 3W-1L-1D across its last five and Brisbane Lions at 4W-1L, while their scoring averages sit at 85.6 and 122.2 respectively.

The headline is simple: Hawthorn is the tip and the expected margin is competitive. The team form, venue and scoring outlook provide the strongest case for the predicted result. Odds correct as at 12:28AM 17 Sep 2026 AEST.