AFL Round Multi Bets — Round 17 2024

AI-generated multi-bet recommendations combining predictions across all Round 17 games

Premiership Credentials and the Kardinia Park Trap

Round 17 is usually the time of year when the genuine contenders start to distance themselves from the middle of the pack. We are seeing a massive divide in class this week, which makes for some fascinating AFL Round 17 2024 tips. The action kicks off with a massive Friday night blockbuster at the MCG. Collingwood versus Essendon is always a highlight, but the Pies have a knack for lifting when the lights are brightest at home. Jye Caldwell has been a tackling machine for the Bombers, averaging double digits lately, but the MCG factor usually swings these close ones toward the black and white.

For those looking at AFL multi bets, the most lopsided contests appear to be in Perth and Brisbane. Fremantle is hosting Richmond, and the stats tell a grim story for the Tigers. Freo boasts one of the most disciplined defenses in the competition, while Richmond is ranked 17th for offensive efficiency. After a 54 point win for the Dockers earlier in the season, expect another clinical dismantling. Similarly, the Brisbane Lions have turned the Gabba back into a graveyard for visiting teams. The humidity and the sheer speed of the Lions' ball movement should see them overwhelm an Adelaide Crows side that has been inconsistent at best.

One of the most tactical battles of the weekend takes place at GMHBA Stadium. Hawthorn has been the form team of the last month, using a bold lateral switching game to open up opponents. However, the narrow wings of Kardinia Park are a nightmare for that style of play. Geelong is perfectly suited to punish this, with Tom Stewart and Zach Guthrie likely to feast on errant kicks as the Hawks find their space restricted. This tactical squeeze is a huge part of our Round 17 betting tips, as it negates Hawthorn's greatest strength.

In the chase for the top four, Carlton travels to face the GWS Giants. The Blues' engine room is firing on all cylinders, led by Patrick Cripps and the dominant ruck work of Tom De Koning. If Carlton wins the clearance battle as expected, their forward line has too much firepower for a Giants defense that has looked shaky under pressure. Across the round, the theme is clear, the heavyweights are ready to flex their muscles. Stick with the teams that have proven records at their home grounds and those with the midfield depth to sustain pressure for the full 120 minutes.

Sharp Round Multi

✔ Fremantle to win$1.08

The Dockers own the best defensive efficiency in the league and already clobbered Richmond by 54 points earlier this year.

✔ Melbourne to win$1.07

Max Gawn will dominate the hit-outs against Bailey Williams, giving the Dees midfield first use all day at the MCG.

✘ Sydney Swans -24.5$1.85

Sydney leads the league in disposal efficiency and the Saints simply cannot defend fast transitions on the spread.

✔ Brisbane Lions to win$1.18

The Gabba has returned to fortress status and Adelaide lacks the defensive midfield accountability to stop Lachie Neale.

✘ Carlton to win$1.65

The Blues' midfield is currently the most physical unit in the AFL and Tom De Koning is in career-best form.

Combined Odds: $4.17

This play relies on the massive class divide between the top four and the bottom tier, anchored by the most reliable home ground advantages in the league.

Super Round Multi

✘ Collingwood to win$1.80

The Pies are a different beast at the MCG and historically find a way to dismantle the Bombers in high-pressure games.

✔ Port Adelaide to win$1.85

Port has a psychological edge at Adelaide Oval, winning the last two head-to-head matches against the Bulldogs at this venue.

✘ Gold Coast Suns to win$1.65

While their away record is poor, the Suns possess a midfield ceiling that a developing North Melbourne side cannot match for four quarters.

✔ Geelong Cats -19.5$1.90

Kardinia Park's narrow wings will stifle Hawthorn's lateral ball movement, leading to a feast of intercept marks for Tom Stewart.

✘ Carlton -14.5$1.90

The Blues are punishing teams on the scoreboard once they win the clearance, and GWS is currently leaking too many easy goals.

✘ Sydney Swans -39.5$1.90

The Swans are operating at a level far beyond the rest of the pack, and St Kilda's scoring woes will make it impossible to keep up.

✔ Brisbane Lions -34.5$1.90

Brisbane's scoring power at the Gabba is immense, and they should pull away comfortably from a Crows side that struggles on the road.

Combined Odds: $68.74

We are hunting for value by backing the league's heavy hitters to not just win, but to exploit specific ground dimensions and tactical mismatches for big margins.